{"id":1236,"date":"2026-05-06T06:53:50","date_gmt":"2026-05-06T06:53:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/regarcommpromo.my.id\/?p=1236"},"modified":"2026-05-06T06:56:04","modified_gmt":"2026-05-06T06:56:04","slug":"untung-rugi-kesepakatan-dagang-ri-usa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/regarcommpromo.my.id\/?p=1236","title":{"rendered":"Untung Rugi Kesepakatan Dagang RI-USA"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"1236\" class=\"elementor elementor-1236\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a1b33a4 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"a1b33a4\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a4f2d91 elementor-widget elementor-widget-gallery\" data-id=\"a4f2d91\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;columns&quot;:3,&quot;lazyload&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;,&quot;gallery_layout&quot;:&quot;grid&quot;,&quot;columns_tablet&quot;:2,&quot;columns_mobile&quot;:1,&quot;gap&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;px&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:10,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]},&quot;gap_tablet&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;px&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:10,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]},&quot;gap_mobile&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;px&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:10,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]},&quot;link_to&quot;:&quot;file&quot;,&quot;aspect_ratio&quot;:&quot;3:2&quot;,&quot;overlay_background&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;,&quot;content_hover_animation&quot;:&quot;fade-in&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"gallery.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-gallery__container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a class=\"e-gallery-item elementor-gallery-item elementor-animated-content\" href=\"https:\/\/regarcommpromo.my.id\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/download-2026-02-23T111010.961.jpg\" data-elementor-open-lightbox=\"yes\" data-elementor-lightbox-slideshow=\"a4f2d91\" data-elementor-lightbox-title=\"download-2026-02-23T111010.961\" data-e-action-hash=\"#elementor-action%3Aaction%3Dlightbox%26settings%3DeyJpZCI6MTIzNSwidXJsIjoiaHR0cHM6XC9cL3JlZ2FyY29tbXByb21vLm15LmlkXC93cC1jb250ZW50XC91cGxvYWRzXC8yMDI2XC8wNVwvZG93bmxvYWQtMjAyNi0wMi0yM1QxMTEwMTAuOTYxLmpwZyIsInNsaWRlc2hvdyI6ImE0ZjJkOTEifQ%3D%3D\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-gallery-image elementor-gallery-item__image\" data-thumbnail=\"https:\/\/regarcommpromo.my.id\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/download-2026-02-23T111010.961.jpg\" data-width=\"201\" data-height=\"251\" aria-label=\"\" role=\"img\" ><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-gallery-item__overlay\"><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a class=\"e-gallery-item elementor-gallery-item elementor-animated-content\" href=\"https:\/\/regarcommpromo.my.id\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/download-2026-02-23T111026.882.jpg\" data-elementor-open-lightbox=\"yes\" data-elementor-lightbox-slideshow=\"a4f2d91\" data-elementor-lightbox-title=\"download-2026-02-23T111026.882\" data-e-action-hash=\"#elementor-action%3Aaction%3Dlightbox%26settings%3DeyJpZCI6MTIzNCwidXJsIjoiaHR0cHM6XC9cL3JlZ2FyY29tbXByb21vLm15LmlkXC93cC1jb250ZW50XC91cGxvYWRzXC8yMDI2XC8wNVwvZG93bmxvYWQtMjAyNi0wMi0yM1QxMTEwMjYuODgyLmpwZyIsInNsaWRlc2hvdyI6ImE0ZjJkOTEifQ%3D%3D\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-gallery-image elementor-gallery-item__image\" data-thumbnail=\"https:\/\/regarcommpromo.my.id\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/download-2026-02-23T111026.882.jpg\" data-width=\"201\" data-height=\"251\" aria-label=\"\" role=\"img\" ><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-gallery-item__overlay\"><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a class=\"e-gallery-item elementor-gallery-item elementor-animated-content\" href=\"https:\/\/regarcommpromo.my.id\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/images-26.jpg\" data-elementor-open-lightbox=\"yes\" data-elementor-lightbox-slideshow=\"a4f2d91\" data-elementor-lightbox-title=\"images-26\" data-e-action-hash=\"#elementor-action%3Aaction%3Dlightbox%26settings%3DeyJpZCI6MTIzMywidXJsIjoiaHR0cHM6XC9cL3JlZ2FyY29tbXByb21vLm15LmlkXC93cC1jb250ZW50XC91cGxvYWRzXC8yMDI2XC8wNVwvaW1hZ2VzLTI2LmpwZyIsInNsaWRlc2hvdyI6ImE0ZjJkOTEifQ%3D%3D\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-gallery-image elementor-gallery-item__image\" data-thumbnail=\"https:\/\/regarcommpromo.my.id\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/images-26.jpg\" data-width=\"201\" data-height=\"251\" aria-label=\"\" role=\"img\" ><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-gallery-item__overlay\"><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3d01f37 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"3d01f37\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-571f69f elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"571f69f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Kesepakatan dagang yang baru saja ditandatangani antara Presiden Prabowo Subianto dan Presiden Donald Trump pada 19 Februari 2026 ini dikenal sebagai\u00a0<strong>Agreement on Reciprocal Trade (ART)<\/strong>.<\/p><p>Secara umum, kesepakatan ini menetapkan tarif resiprokal sebesar\u00a0<strong>19%<\/strong>\u00a0untuk produk Indonesia yang masuk ke AS (turun dari ancaman awal sebesar 32%), sementara produk AS masuk ke Indonesia dengan tarif\u00a0<strong>0%<\/strong>. Namun, ada pengecualian penting berupa tarif 0% untuk ribuan produk unggulan Indonesia.<\/p><p>Berikut adalah rincian keuntungan dan kerugiannya:<\/p><ol><li><strong> Keuntungan bagi Indonesia<\/strong><\/li><\/ol><p>Meskipun angka \u201c19% vs 0%\u201d terlihat timpang, terdapat beberapa poin yang sangat menguntungkan posisi Indonesia:<\/p><ul><li><strong>Pembebasan Tarif untuk 1.819 Produk:<\/strong>\u00a0Pemerintah berhasil menegosiasikan tarif\u00a0<strong>0%<\/strong>\u00a0(bebas bea masuk) untuk 1.819 pos tarif produk Indonesia, termasuk:<ul><li><strong>Komoditas Utama:<\/strong>\u00a0Minyak sawit, kopi, kakao, rempah-rempah, dan karet.<\/li><li><strong>Teknologi &amp; Manufaktur:<\/strong>\u00a0Komponen elektronik, semikonduktor, dan komponen pesawat terbang.<\/li><li><strong>Tekstil &amp; Garmen:<\/strong>\u00a0Mendapat tarif 0% melalui skema kuota (TRQ), yang melindungi mata pencaharian jutaan pekerja di sektor ini.<\/li><\/ul><\/li><li><strong>Bahan Baku Murah:<\/strong>\u00a0Tarif 0% untuk produk AS seperti\u00a0<strong>kedelai dan gandum<\/strong>\u00a0akan membuat harga bahan baku pangan di dalam negeri (seperti tempe, tahu, dan mie) menjadi lebih stabil dan terjangkau bagi masyarakat.<\/li><li><strong>Keunggulan Regional:<\/strong>\u00a0Tarif 19% ini adalah salah satu yang terendah di ASEAN dibandingkan negara tetangga yang bisa terkena tarif jauh lebih tinggi (hingga 25-36%), sehingga produk Indonesia tetap lebih kompetitif di pasar AS.<\/li><\/ul><ol start=\"2\"><li><strong> Kerugian dan Tantangan bagi Indonesia<\/strong><\/li><\/ol><p>Di sisi lain, terdapat risiko yang perlu diwaspadai dari skema ini:<\/p><ul><li><strong>Ketimpangan Akses Pasar:<\/strong>\u00a0Secara prinsip, produk AS mendapatkan akses bebas bea yang menyeluruh, sedangkan produk Indonesia di luar daftar 1.819 pos tarif tersebut tetap harus membayar tarif 19%.<\/li><li><strong>Ancaman bagi Industri Manufaktur:<\/strong>\u00a0Produk jadi dari AS (seperti alat kesehatan atau barang konsumsi kelas atas) dapat membanjiri pasar lokal. Jika industri dalam negeri tidak siap bersaing secara kualitas, mereka bisa kehilangan pangsa pasar.<\/li><li><strong>Ketergantungan Impor:<\/strong>\u00a0Adanya komitmen Indonesia untuk membeli produk energi (LNG), pesawat (Boeing), dan hasil pertanian AS dalam jumlah besar dapat memperlebar defisit perdagangan jika ekspor kita ke AS tidak tumbuh lebih cepat.<\/li><li><strong>Risiko bagi UMKM:<\/strong>\u00a0Meski produk AS cenderung menyasar segmen menengah-atas, masuknya produk olahan pangan atau kosmetik AS tanpa tarif tetap menjadi tekanan bagi pelaku usaha lokal yang bermain di segmen serupa.<\/li><\/ul><table width=\"789\"><thead><tr><td><p><strong>Sektor<\/strong><\/p><\/td><td><p><strong>Dampak Bagi Indonesia<\/strong><\/p><\/td><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><p><strong>Pangan<\/strong><\/p><\/td><td><p><strong>Positif:<\/strong>\u00a0Harga kedelai\/gandum turun; harga tahu\/tempe\/mie stabil.<\/p><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><p><strong>Ekspor Unggulan<\/strong><\/p><\/td><td><p><strong>Positif:<\/strong>\u00a0Sawit, kopi, dan elektronik bebas tarif (0%).<\/p><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><p><strong>Tekstil<\/strong><\/p><\/td><td><p><strong>Positif:<\/strong>\u00a0Aman lewat kuota khusus, melindungi lapangan kerja.<\/p><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><p><strong>Neraca Dagang<\/strong><\/p><\/td><td><p><strong>Risiko:<\/strong>\u00a0Potensi defisit jika impor produk energi &amp; pesawat AS membengkak.<\/p><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><p><strong>Persaingan<\/strong><\/p><\/td><td><p><strong>Tantangan:<\/strong>\u00a0Industri manufaktur lokal harus lebih efisien tanpa perlindungan tarif.<\/p><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><p>\u00a0<\/p><p>Meskipun kesepakatan\u00a0<strong>Agreement on Reciprocal Trade (ART)<\/strong>\u00a0memberikan tarif impor 0% bagi produk Amerika Serikat, Anda mungkin akan sedikit kecewa:\u00a0<strong>harga iPhone dan komputer (Mac) di Indonesia kemungkinan besar tidak akan turun secara signifikan.<\/strong><\/p><p>Berikut adalah alasan teknis dan faktual di balik fenomena ini:<\/p><ol><li><strong> Masalah \u201cNegara Asal\u201d (Country of Origin)<\/strong><\/li><\/ol><p>Tarif 0% dalam kesepakatan ini hanya berlaku untuk produk yang\u00a0<strong>diproduksi\/dirakit secara fisik di Amerika Serikat<\/strong>.<\/p><ul><li><strong>iPhone:<\/strong>\u00a0Meskipun dirancang di California, iPhone dirakit oleh Foxconn di\u00a0<strong>China<\/strong>\u00a0atau\u00a0<strong>India<\/strong>. Dalam hukum perdagangan internasional, iPhone dianggap sebagai produk buatan China\/India, bukan AS.<\/li><li><strong>Laptop\/PC:<\/strong>\u00a0Mayoritas komputer merek AS (Dell, HP, Apple Mac) juga dirakit di Asia.<\/li><li><strong>Dampaknya:<\/strong>\u00a0Karena tidak \u201cMade in USA\u201d, produk-produk ini tetap dikenakan tarif normal yang berlaku untuk negara perakitnya, bukan tarif 0% dari kesepakatan dengan AS tersebut.<\/li><\/ul><ol start=\"2\"><li><strong> Komponen Pajak Lain yang Tetap Berlaku<\/strong><\/li><\/ol><p>Kalaupun ada produk elektronik yang benar-benar dikirim langsung dari pabrik di AS, penurunan harganya tidak akan drastis karena Bea Masuk hanyalah salah satu komponen biaya. Komponen pajak lainnya tetap ada:<\/p><ul><li><strong>PPN (Pajak Pertambahan Nilai):<\/strong>\u00a0Sebesar 11% (rencana naik ke 12%).<\/li><li><strong>PPh 22 Impor:<\/strong>\u00a0Sebesar 10% (dengan NPWP) atau 20% (tanpa NPWP).<\/li><li><strong>Pajak Barang Mewah:<\/strong>\u00a0Jika kategori produk tersebut masuk dalam kriteria tertentu.<\/li><\/ul><ol start=\"3\"><li><strong> Siapa yang Benar-Benar Mendapat Keuntungan 0%?<\/strong><\/li><\/ol><p>Produk AS yang akan mengalami penurunan harga signifikan justru adalah barang-barang yang memang diproduksi langsung di tanah Amerika, seperti:<\/p><ul><li><strong>Produk Pertanian:<\/strong>\u00a0Kedelai, gandum, dan jagung (bahan baku tahu, tempe, dan mie).<\/li><li><strong>Energi:<\/strong>\u00a0Gas alam cair (LNG) dan minyak bumi.<\/li><li><strong>Dirgantara:<\/strong>\u00a0Pesawat Boeing dan suku cadang pesawat.<\/li><li><strong>Mesin Berat &amp; Farmasi:<\/strong>\u00a0Alat-alat berat konstruksi dan obat-obatan tertentu buatan laboratorium AS.<\/li><\/ul><p><strong>Simulasi Harga iPhone (Jika dianggap produk AS)<\/strong><\/p><p>Hanya sebagai gambaran teknis, jika seandainya iPhone diakui sebagai produk AS dan bea masuknya menjadi 0%:<\/p><ul><li><strong>Bea Masuk lama:<\/strong>\u00a010% (untuk barang kiriman\/bawaan penumpang).<\/li><li><strong>Potensi penurunan:<\/strong>\u00a0Harga hanya akan turun sekitar\u00a0<strong>5-8%<\/strong>\u00a0dari harga ritel saat ini, karena pajak lainnya (PPN &amp; PPh) masih sangat dominan dalam struktur harga di Indonesia<\/li><\/ul>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-201b645 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"201b645\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a93a9c6 elementor-grid-3 elementor-grid-tablet-2 elementor-grid-mobile-1 elementor-posts--thumbnail-top 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role=\"listitem\">\n\t\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-post__thumbnail__link\" href=\"https:\/\/regarcommpromo.my.id\/?p=1948\" tabindex=\"-1\" >\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-post__thumbnail\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"168\" height=\"299\" src=\"https:\/\/regarcommpromo.my.id\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/download-21.jpg\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium wp-image-1946\" alt=\"\" \/><\/div>\n\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-post__text\">\n\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"elementor-post__title\">\n\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/regarcommpromo.my.id\/?p=1948\" >\n\t\t\t\tTrump Cekcok Dengan Netanyahu Usai Negosiasi Iran Terancam\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t<\/h3>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-post__meta-data\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-post-date\">\n\t\t\t2 Juni 2026\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-post-avatar\">\n\t\t\tTidak ada komentar\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-post__excerpt\">\n\t\t\t<p>Hubungan Washington-Tel Aviv 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dalam<\/p>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\n\t\t<a class=\"elementor-post__read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/regarcommpromo.my.id\/?p=1913\" aria-label=\"Read more about Menakar Arah Perang AS-Iran di Bawah Kendali Trump\" tabindex=\"-1\" >\n\t\t\tRead More \u00bb\t\t<\/a>\n\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/article>\n\t\t\t\t<article class=\"elementor-post elementor-grid-item post-1905 post type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry category-politics\" role=\"listitem\">\n\t\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-post__thumbnail__link\" href=\"https:\/\/regarcommpromo.my.id\/?p=1905\" tabindex=\"-1\" >\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-post__thumbnail\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"201\" height=\"251\" src=\"https:\/\/regarcommpromo.my.id\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/jokowi2.jpg\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium wp-image-1903\" alt=\"\" \/><\/div>\n\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-post__text\">\n\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"elementor-post__title\">\n\t\t\t<a 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antara Presiden Prabowo Subianto dan Presiden Donald Trump pada 19 Februari 2026 ini dikenal sebagai\u00a0Agreement on Reciprocal Trade (ART). Secara umum, kesepakatan ini menetapkan tarif resiprokal sebesar\u00a019%\u00a0untuk produk Indonesia yang masuk ke AS (turun dari ancaman awal sebesar 32%), sementara produk AS masuk ke Indonesia dengan tarif\u00a00%. Namun, ada [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1233,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1236","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-finance"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Untung Rugi Kesepakatan Dagang RI-USA - Regarcommpromo<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/regarcommpromo.my.id\/?p=1236\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"id_ID\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Untung Rugi Kesepakatan Dagang RI-USA - Regarcommpromo\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Kesepakatan dagang yang baru saja ditandatangani antara Presiden Prabowo Subianto dan Presiden Donald Trump pada 19 Februari 2026 ini dikenal sebagai\u00a0Agreement on Reciprocal Trade (ART). Secara umum, kesepakatan ini menetapkan tarif resiprokal sebesar\u00a019%\u00a0untuk produk Indonesia yang masuk ke AS (turun dari ancaman awal sebesar 32%), sementara produk AS masuk ke Indonesia dengan tarif\u00a00%. 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Secara umum, kesepakatan ini menetapkan tarif resiprokal sebesar\u00a019%\u00a0untuk produk Indonesia yang masuk ke AS (turun dari ancaman awal sebesar 32%), sementara produk AS masuk ke Indonesia dengan tarif\u00a00%. 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